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i’ve zero bones in tn election since i am not from there. but a good prosperous state next to us which gives us a lot of revenue is amazing. except for the fact that we wanna annex few parts of tn (read auroville and few pockets between tn and py which makes administration, roads and other utilities super difficult) with py, i am good.
so, take my opinion with a pinch of salt. choices have consequences. i’ll put forth few of my points that might help you make a decision if you’re still undecided, but will refrain from endorsing any party.
1. elections are all about winning. you’ve a party in power and you want to unseat them. if that’s the goal, wdym if the biggest opposition party didn’t ally with a trending popular newer party with huge influence via internet and to the youngsters?
i mean, if you’re not able to secure that alliance, how do i view you as serious enough with a vision to unseat the ruling party?
2. people seek choices and most are tired voting between two choices for a lot of years. is that true? yes. is it a very popular sentiment amongst youngsters? absolutely yes.
many are downplaying the amount of influence that the newer party has. let’s discuss if they’re using that effectively.
except the cm candidate who’s a star power, it was an extreme disappointment on the choice of candidates who represent that star and the mode of campaigning that took place.
it was poor. abysmal. poorly executed. many candidates were poorly chosen and if you’re struggling to choose mla candidates, how would i’ve trust in you to choose your cabinet of ministers who can govern? let’s give the benefit of doubt you’re an excellent chief minister. but who’s going to handle th rest of the portfolios? i’ve not seen any good choices.
most choices seemed to be influenced, the newer party has no control of party whip over their representatives, senior party members.
the lack of maturity around organization doesn’t instill confidence that they’ll be able to govern maturely. if they win, expect a lot of protests, unrest and governor’s rule forcing another election soon. mature political parties will know how to win the game and will decimate them.
the best choice for that party is to strengthen itself and show what it can do in the next elections.
3. there’s a ruling party. it has its own vote bank who’ll vote for it. and then the people in the middle who’ll swing votes. the ruling party only needs to worry about the votes which will swing.
because these are the voters who’ll be unhappy with the ruling party. now, who’ll they swing to? the opposition led alliance? the new party? the tamil nationalism party?
this split in swings will result in distributed anti incumbency votes. this is a competitive election regardless and i am excited to see the results.
CONCLUSION:
in periods of extreme turbulence and uncertainty, i’d like the peace and the growth of the state to continue. the most logical path to choose is to continue for those who’re in power and wait and watch if alternative modes of governance can rise up from the opposition so that a better choice can be made.
the choice is yours to make. but, never forget to vote.
i am surprised by the fact that many in twitter are surprised that there are so many people voting for tvk.
they’ve been asking - if it’s a failure of theirs on not doing student unions and other stuff of politicizing that failed in educating them.
nope. those aren’t the true reasons. unless you find those reasons and plug them, you’d only get more surprises.
concentrate on the economy and growing employment. if you can’t fix that and make sure a guy getting his salary can’t buy his own home within 3-5 years, you’re focusing on the wrong issues.
work on making sure you’re promoting housing (which means you’ve to be anti-your own political big wigs who’re big in real estate) - pop that real estate bubble, make housing affordable and focus on fulfilling societal promises.
what are societal promises?
you promised people in our society that if they study well, get a degree, they’ll get a job.
happens very less now.
if they get a job, they can get a house. nope. housing is too expensive that it’s unaffordable.
fix them. fix living costs. focus on the basics.
90+ questions were on election alone. few pointers from those which i’ve missed.
1. super difficult to print winners, but anti incumbency votes getting split is a sign. people don’t hate the ruling party as much as they hated the previous one coming fresh off the shooting scandals and so on. not many in public memory in this.
the only way anti incumbency will swing will be towards the newly formed party. so let’s see.
2. many asked how future elections will be. it’s going to be different. expect a shift from centre left towards centre right.
bjp will not be hated as it once used to be unless they do some stupid union gov retarded shit to give a cause to their opposition here.
expect lesser religious tolerance. not in the style of anti inclusivity but in the style of why social treatment because a religion is minority? till will happen more and more.
expect resistance against reservation in future generations. it’s going to be super tough for you to talk and convince them.
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